Should You Buy an Apple Watch?

I bought my first Mac in 1987 and have purchased dozens since. I bought two of the first edition iPhones the day they released on June 29, 2007 (for me and my wife), and I purchased at least one iPhone 3G, iPhone 3GS, iPhone 4, iPhone 5 and iPhone 6 shortly after they released. (I skipped the 4S and 5S.) Because it was too big, I skipped the Newton and went for the Palm Pilot, but sure had fun playing with the Newton my colleague at Disney Studios purchased way back when NBC was “must see TV.” However, I’m not buying this Apple Watch. Why? Because, this is the worst Apple Watch ever. 

Apple Watch is certainly cooler than the other smart watches and Fit Bits, etc, but in 12 months or so this Apple Watch 1 will look like the Newton when compared to Apple Watch 2.

Here are the salient pros and cons of both Apple Watch and Apple Watch 2:

Apple Watch Pros 

  • All features better than competitors’ smart watches

    Apple Watch

  • Hardware & software design aesthetics better than competitors
  • New “Force Touch” (press harder) input for right-click-like functions
  • “Digital crown” scroll wheel input (like iPod click-wheel)
  • Apple Watch can control iPhone’s camera for “remote selfies”
  • Notifications discreetly “tap” you with distinct tapping combos
  • Can use Apple Pay without iPhone pairingEdit   

Apple Watch Cons 

  • Expensive for certain planned obsolescence technology

    iPad Air vs Watch

     

  • Battery lasts less than a day
  • Battery takes 2.5 hour to charge to 100%
  • OS is a little too slow & stutters at times
  • Not “connected” unless used with iPhone or wifi
  • Limited replies a la two-way pager era
  • Siri a main input and is still hit and miss
  • Must use iTunes via computer
  • Worse than iPod Nano for music (& music drains battery)
  • Design is a bit more gear-head than fashionista
  • 40% thicker than iPad Air; 30% thicker than iPhone 6 
  • (Watch = 6 quarters thick; iPad Air = 3.7 quarters; iPhone 6 = 4.1 quarters)

Apple Watch 2 Pros

  • Will fix all those cons above

Apple Watch 2 Cons

  • You have to wait at least a year to get one

My advice is, buy the Apple Watch 2 a year from now.  Take the $350-$17,000 you would spend on an Apple Watch 1 and buy Apple stock after the stock sinks due to lower-than-expected Apple Watch sales. The sales figures released by Apple will be lower than the street wants. If no sales figures are released, the street will like that even less, and the stock will go even lower. The stock will still be expensive, but it will be a deal compared to what the stock price will be in June and September when the next iPhones and iPads release, and this time next year when the Apple Watch 2 will be better, and sell better. And you’ll basically be getting Apple Watch 2 for free due to the growth of the Apple stock you buy with your Apple Watch 1 money.  

Do you agree with this advice? Why or why not?

Here’s my post to help you decide between iPhone 6 or 6 Plus.

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Comments

  1. Agree completely! 🙂

  2. To get the Apple Watch 2 for free a year after you buy $350 worth of Apple stock, the stock would have to double in that year. A very bold projection.

    As bullish as I am on Apple stock, I call “bull something else” to that “free watch.”

    But love the other analysis!

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